[原创] 技术上看现在已经极度的超买

Rank: 18

VIP初级贡献会员股版虎威勋章精华帖主 VIP中级贡献会员

2^#

发表于 2011-7-1 12:24 | 显示全部帖子

回复 2# 棋王
K = 98 D=92 ...

Rank: 18

VIP初级贡献会员股版虎威勋章精华帖主 VIP中级贡献会员

3^#

发表于 2011-7-1 12:25 | 显示全部帖子

另外华巴也出来了... 一般是他出来就到顶了, 大傻一般是半山腰.

江南有丹桔，经冬犹绿林。岂伊地气暖，自有岁寒心。可以荐佳客，奈何阻重深。运命唯所遇，循环不可寻。徒言树桃李，此木岂无阴。

Rank: 18

VIP初级贡献会员股版虎威勋章精华帖主 VIP中级贡献会员

4^#

发表于 2011-7-1 12:58 | 显示全部帖子

回复 8# snowrider
Then what do you use?

Rank: 18

VIP初级贡献会员股版虎威勋章精华帖主 VIP中级贡献会员

5^#

发表于 2011-7-1 13:21 | 显示全部帖子

I assume that you are asking me what TA indicators I use?
You see my charts are clean without a ...
snowrider 发表于 2011-7-1 13:16

You know, they are NOT useless. You need to understand some basic statistics, it is all about probability.

Rank: 18

VIP初级贡献会员股版虎威勋章精华帖主 VIP中级贡献会员

6^#

发表于 2011-7-1 13:32 | 显示全部帖子

回复 13# snowrider

USELESS for you, but not for others.

Rank: 18

VIP初级贡献会员股版虎威勋章精华帖主 VIP中级贡献会员

7^#

发表于 2011-7-1 13:33 | 显示全部帖子

回复 14# buhuyou
这个是统计意义上的, 你的洗桶需要做BACKTESTING, 一样的道理. 我们找到的信号, 都是要看很久才可以用的.

Rank: 18

VIP初级贡献会员股版虎威勋章精华帖主 VIP中级贡献会员

8^#

发表于 2011-7-1 13:55 | 显示全部帖子

I don't know what their backgrounds are.

If you want to discuss binomial distribution or pearson ...
snowrider 发表于 2011-7-1 13:51

难道概率就是关于那几个简单分布?

Rank: 18

VIP初级贡献会员股版虎威勋章精华帖主 VIP中级贡献会员

9^#

发表于 2011-7-1 14:10 | 显示全部帖子

本帖最后由 not4weak 于 2011-7-1 14:11 编辑

Of course they are not "那几个简单分布", but you use the word "probability" losely so that's why I t ...
snowrider 发表于 2011-7-1 14:03

All the TAs in stock trading, which you termed as "USELESS", are related to statistics. To say the TAs are useless, that means you don't understand them well.

比如我说超买, 是说的统计意义上的. 比如说, 已经连续20天高温了, 接下来也许继续高温, 是趋势, 这个你可以用MA来看. 但是趋势有长有短, 季节变化了, 趋势就会反转了. 比如, 买高的人多起来了, 做空的已经被挤压差不多了, 就该反转了.

Rank: 18

VIP初级贡献会员股版虎威勋章精华帖主 VIP中级贡献会员

10^#

发表于 2011-7-1 14:24 | 显示全部帖子

回复 27# snowrider

You know I don't think the past 30 years are relevant, back then there were no daytrading like now. Program trading didn't exist that time.

I have read through carefully with the recent 15 years of data. You actually can see these are quite good.

History is NOT consistent.