post er move:
move second day after last er: -11.3%
comments: negative, reason for that may be revenue miss.
一年之内没有连续两个季度 move down。
5个季度有两个down,三个up。上次是down。
所以这次up 的机会大, 听起来too naive 是吧?其实上市公司都是要尽量避免连续bad move 的。
trading:
trading flat at 220 where options exert maximum pain,which is resistance as well as support.
comments: positive.this is good as it is not priced too high to prevent a move after er.
surprise 估计:
中国销售惊人, 会增加总收入和eps。
conclusions:
projected move after er:>8%
upside,expect least move >5% from 220. 240 may be reached or broken.