标题: [讨论] Prediction vs Trading Strategy [打印本页] 作者: snowrider 时间: 2011-7-1 12:38 标题: Prediction vs Trading Strategy
The market's surge these days brings up a discussion topic ... which one is more important: prediction or trading strategy? Please share your thought!作者: not4weak 时间: 2011-7-1 12:44
Both are important, just like we do prediction before we do ANYTHING. Prediction determines action.
A good trading strategy can make sure you won't lose much if you had a bad prediction.作者: 棋王 时间: 2011-7-1 12:44
But the more I trade, the more I feel that trading strategy is more important than prediction.
Most people on this forum know that I am a bear a extreme bear.
But you might notice that I have holding long position especially index futures since I liquidated all my short position. I've mentioned that many times, and I am still holding that position.
Why??? Because I never override my predition with my trading strategy. If the prediction match my strategy, the bet will be heavy. That explains that my bet on this bull ralley is a light position.
